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Published on 03/11/2012 at Sun Mar 11 23:09.
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This article is my personal opinion and does not necessarily reflect the views of the rest of the BT staff.

The Denver Broncos may still have plans for Tim Tebow. (Getty Images)

There have been many reports that if the Denver Broncos sign free agent quarterback Peyton Manning — and it looks like they will — the team will trade third-year quarterback Tim Tebow.  In reality, the Broncos would have nothing to gain from trading Tebow.

Many of the talking heads on ESPN and other outlets have noted that the Broncos top brass — V.P. of Football Operations John Elway and Head Coach John Fox — view signing Manning as a visible way of “curing Tebowmania,” which doesn’t even make sense.

Tebowmania is good for the Broncos.  It’s good for jersey sales, good for marketing and good for notoriety. 

Realistically, Tebow is worth about a 6th-7th round draft pick or a young quarterback straight up (say, Blaine Gabbert) and that’s not worth it from the Broncos’ standpoint.  There are few teams in the NFL that are desperate enough to give up anything more than a fourth round pick in a trade for Tebow, and even that high of a pick is unlikely — so the Broncos would be getting the raw-end of the deal.

The Broncos are only due to pay Tebow $850,000 this season, so the team would have no problem having both Manning and Tebow on the roster, money-wise.  To recap, the Broncos will be paying Tebow hardly anything this season and would get next to nothing back in a trade.

The only way I foresee Tebow being shipped out of town would be if he requested it himself and asks to be traded.  If Tebow asks to be traded, the Broncos would have no reason not to oblige to such a request.  If Tebow doesn’t have a big reaction however, the Broncos would have nothing to gain from trading him.

I believe that if Tebow sticks around, the Broncos will give him a role this season.  Whether that role is learning under Manning, getting a few plays a game in special packages or changing his position, the team will give him a chance.  If Tebow is really willing to do whatever it takes to help the team win, he’ll accept role that the Broncos will give him in 2012.

Listen, the Broncos are not going to trade Tebow simply to avoid an outcry among the fans for benching him.  They’ve obviously already shown that they do not care about the public’s opinion.

Of course, I could be wrong and the Broncos may be planning on trading Tebow no matter what happens.  But this is just my take and I’m sticking to it:  Denver has no reason to “cure Tebowmania”.

What's your take?

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  • http://thingsatrexdoes.tumblr.com Mike Birtwistle

    Tim Tebow the football player is exactly the sort of person you want on your team.  He is a winner, he works hard and he seems to have this ability to pull things out of nowhere when you most need them.

    Tim Tebow the humanitarian (for want of a better word) is exactly the sort of person you want on your team.  Whilst some players leave their passed out girlfriends on a couch or shoot themselves in the thigh Tim is out meeting children and doing charity work.

    However, the reason why I think Tebow needs to be traded is simple.  I’m fed up of the circus that follows him and that’s going nowhere.  Tebow could win a superbowl and there would still be debates and discussions and character assasinations from both sides.  If he stays on the roster there will be a Tebow watch during camp.  If he’s back up QB then he will be the focus of the fans and commentators.  If he changes positions every time he steps on the field he’ll be the centre of attention.  Some teams would enjoy that sort of level of recognition but I don’t think that’s John Fox’s way.

    None of this is his fault and I’m sure if he was given a choice he’d rather stay under the radar, I’ve seen a similar thing from Beckham when he was at United.  For me its simple – No player is bigger than the team and Tebowmania is bigger than the Broncos.

  • Brooke

    Thank you for writing this article. The reason they should keep Tebow is the same reason they’re going after PM: b/c the NFL is a business.

    1) Fans will only start chanting for Tebow if PM doesn’t play well. So while the media may try to make the situation seem dramatic, it actually won’t be unless PM doesn’t play well.

    2) Just in case PM were to play badly or get injured, wouldn’t EFX be smart to have an inexpensive backup around that they know is capable of winning, isn’t a new guy that they have to break in, & is very popular w/both teammates & fans?
    3) Although Tim’s trade value is at it’s peak right now, as you pointed out, replacing Tim would probably cost more than keeping him.
     4) Tim’s not only inexpensive, he’s profitable. Bowlen made more money last year just from more Broncos games being carried nationally due to Tim’s popularity. Games w/PM starting, & the possibility of Tim being used in special packages, would be tv ratings gold & in high demand by the networks. Bowlen’s going to need the money, given what PM’s salary is likely to be.5) Keeping Tim, & portraying PM & Elway as ‘tutoring’ Tim, would lower some of the hostility that’s currently aimed at both of them. PM still wants to be marketable & being known as the jerk that ran the most popular NFL player out of Denver won’t help that.6) Keeping Tim would mollify the many fans who like the idea of getting Peyton, but not at the expense of losing Tim.
    4) Tim’s not only inexpensive, he’s profitable. Bowlen made more money last year just from more Broncos games being carried nationally due to Tim’s popularity. Games w/PM starting, & the possibility of Tim being used in special packages, would be tv ratings gold & in high demand by the networks. Bowlen’s going to need the money, given what PM’s salary is likely to be.5) Keeping Tim, & portraying PM & Elway as ‘tutoring’ Tim, would lower some of the hostility that’s currently aimed at both of them. PM still wants to be marketable & being known as the jerk that ran the most popular NFL player out of Denver won’t help that.6) Keeping Tim would mollify the many fans who like the idea of getting Peyton, but not at the expense of losing Tim.
    7) Tim’s no diva & wouldn’t be a problem to have on the team. He’s already said that he’s ok w/them going after Manning.
    Thanks again.

  • Brooke

    I don’t know why my post came out so weirdly-I apologize. If you want to delete it, feel free.

  • Oiboyz

    Thanks for the article.  You raise good points, especially that “the Broncos are not going to trade Tebow simply to avoid an outcry among the fans for benching him.”  I don’t think Broncos management worries as much as fans do about things like that– and what’s more, I doubt there will be much fan outcry.  They might rip into Kyle Orton, but not Peyton Manning.  At the same time, though, I don’t think the Broncos would worry about keeping a player around just for the jersey sales.

    Everything I read from reporters with inside sources says that Tebow will be traded if Peyton Manning comes.  So maybe that’s for Tebow’s sake, just like they granted Orton’s request to be released last year.  Or maybe they figure Tebow will be gone sooner or later so they should get whatever they can for him now.  They don’t seem to think he’s their quarterback of the future, and I doubt he’d agree to stay anyway, because he wants a team that believes in him.  And he’d be awkward as a Peyton Manning backup because his success last year came when they tailored the offense for him and he was getting reps with the first team in practice.  As a backup he wouldn’t be in a position to succeed.

    I guess I’m just hoping the Broncos do find a team that wants Tebow, because one thing that’s obvious to me is that he won’t progress as a quarterback just sitting on the bench, no matter what people claim about how merely watching Peyton Manning will make him better by osmosis.  You get better by playing the games.

  • Oiboyz

    A much shorter argument for why Tebow will be traded: if, as you speculate, the Broncos could get a young quarterback straight up for him, they may well think that that young quarterback would be a better backup than Tebow, since his skill set would presumably be more conventional and thus a better fit behind Peyton Manning.  It’s not like they’ll keep Tebow because he already knows their system– not if they’re going to hand the keys to the offense to Peyton so he can change everything.

  • whereisDreamtheRequim?

    Just how much IS $850000 thousand?

  • Stubbs136

    We need to keep Tebow. He did better than Elway did his first year. We also need a backup QB that can win a game in case our main QB is out for any reason. We need Tebow no matter what happens. We all like him.

  • Strawdog

    Jon

    You may be right.  Despite all our woofin, none of us know what Elway, Fox, or Bowlen really think about Tebow’s potential.  If we get Manning, I hope we do trade him to a team that will continue his development.  We’ve seen enough to know that Tebow is an instinctive athlete and improves through playing experience.  I would not enjoy seeing him hold a clipboard for another 3-4 years. 

    We live in interesting times.

     

  • Anonymous

     He only started 3 games his first year and the Broncos missed the playoffs.  Most definitely not better than Elway’s first year.

  • Anonymous

    I’m curious as to why you think Tebow is only worth a 6th-7th round pick?  Given how much the Raiders gave up for Palmer and the Cardinals gave up for Kolb I would think that Tebow would at least have a 2nd round grade.  Not to mention that with Tebow you know that he will put butts in the seats and he already has a playoff win under his belt.  

  • Brb00136

    Why would the Broncos want to base their future on an over the hill quarterback , who is on his last leg- oh and btw he has had (4) Neck surgeries. What makes anyone think he will ever play again? It makes about as much sense as Elway putting the pads on… Prediction: Manning will Suck and about 3/4′s of the way through next season we will be calling for Elway to be fired….

  • Mstep

    I agree with you.  I think a 2nd round pick is closer to fair value.  Then the Broncos can go out and grab a young guy in the draft to groom behind Manning, like Ossweiller.

    I think a lot of people tend to forget that Elway and Fox have no connection to Tebow.  Most new management likes to bring in their own guys, so I would not be surprised to see them sign Manning and then try and get their own QB of the future.

  • Anonymous

    I agree, trading Tebow is not necessary.

    As a back-up QB, he’s cheap, has experience, and has the respect of the team.  If your 1st QB went down, wouldn’t you want to know your O (and D) have faith guy 2 can win too?

    Sure, his game is a polar opposite from Mr. Manning, but we also have a coaching staff that has shown that is can and will adjust the play calling to fit the strengths of the guy with the ball.

    If we had to run a traditional offense, we’d be screwed. *Good thing we can run a non-traditional offense and beat you anyway, huh?*

    *please excuse inaccurate recounting of the above statement, and the unsaid addendum.

    I also agree that the passion, character, work ethic and marketing machine that goes along with Tebow are all good things for the Bronco organization.

    Lastly, the Tebow devotees come in two flavors: Football fans that want to see Tebow win; and Tebow fans that just want to see Tebow.  The first will have to respect the Mr. Manning, and most will begrudgingly admit that its good for Tebow.  The second will still happily buy his jersey, and applaud his image on the JumboTron.  If Sony is smart, they are licking their chops at the idea of a Peyton slanging TVs with a cameo from Tebow, while Timberlake has a fan meltdown in the background because he doesn’t know which guy to idolize more commercial. All during a Monday game in October at The Mile High Authority, while the Broncos are trying to lock up a third or higher seed in the playoffs and the Patriots are fighting for a Wild-Card spot.

    Oh, there is a third Tebow fan, Skip Bayless.  The only solution to that one is the mute button.  It’s funny when he turns red, but you can’t hear him.

  • Anonymous

    I agree, trading Tebow is not necessary.

    As a back-up QB, he’s cheap, has experience, and has the respect of the team.  If your 1st QB went down, wouldn’t you want to know your O (and D) have faith guy 2 can win too?

    Sure, his game is a polar opposite from Mr. Manning, but we also have a coaching staff that has shown that is can and will adjust the play calling to fit the strengths of the guy with the ball.

    If we had to run a traditional offense, we’d be screwed. *Good thing we can run a non-traditional offense and beat you anyway, huh?*

    *please excuse inaccurate recounting of the above statement, and the unsaid addendum.

    I also agree that the passion, character, work ethic and marketing machine that goes along with Tebow are all good things for the Bronco organization.

    Lastly, the Tebow devotees come in two flavors: Football fans that want to see Tebow win; and Tebow fans that just want to see Tebow.  The first will have to respect the Mr. Manning, and most will begrudgingly admit that its good for Tebow.  The second will still happily buy his jersey, and applaud his image on the JumboTron.  If Sony is smart, they are licking their chops at the idea of a Peyton slanging TVs with a cameo from Tebow, while Timberlake has a fan meltdown in the background because he doesn’t know which guy to idolize more commercial. All during a Monday game in October at The Mile High Authority, while the Broncos are trying to lock up a third or higher seed in the playoffs and the Patriots are fighting for a Wild-Card spot.

    Oh, there is a third Tebow fan, Skip Bayless.  The only solution to that one is the mute button.  It’s funny when he turns red, but you can’t hear him.

  • Anonymous

    Look, this is simple….if the Broncos thought Tebow was the long term answer, they wouldn’t be trying to land Peyton.  

    You don’t bench a QB going into his third year to get more “seasoning.” 

  • Wildjoe

    It’s time for Tebow to bow his back and tell ‘em all to go to hell!  No matter what Tebow does, it ain’t gonna be good enough….Timmy, your whore wife (the Broncos management and coaches) is running around on you!  GIVE IT UP!!  Come home to Florida…we’ll pass the hat…that $850 K will be chicken feed.

  • Bucky

    The problem with this thought process is that it would only be right if we were talking about going out to get Carson Palmer or Vince Young. 

    I am not a huge fan of this whole thing, but I have to say that any team that has not thought about this is a foolish team. I don’t care who your QB is, you look at picking up Manning. 

    I honestly wont be surprised to see the Broncos go either way on this one, and that is what I like about this article. all these people saying they know one way or the other are just blowing hot air. This article helps to bring some balance and I always appreciate that. 

  • Anonymous

    It makes no difference which QB you’re going after.   If you’re looking for a new starter, you’re not sold on your current one.    Especially when that guy is going into his third year.  The year QB’s are supposed to make “the leap.” 

    Arguments against that point are senseless to me. 

  • Anonymous

    It makes no difference which QB you’re going after.   If you’re looking for a new starter, you’re not sold on your current one.    Especially when that guy is going into his third year.  The year QB’s are supposed to make “the leap.” 

    Arguments against that point are senseless to me. 

  • Anonymous

    He’s gone like the wind. The Broncos have a 2 year window (3 at best) to win a SB with Manning. They will want all the draft picks they can get and they also need to draft Manning’s replacement this year.

  • Anonymous

    Agreed.  It also makes me think that the Broncos have their eyes on a specific QB that they are excited about long term.  I think they would be hesitant to pursue Manning so aggressively if they were only so-so with the current crop. Say what you will about the current management but I think they have more long term focus than the past two regimes.   

  • http://Facebook.com/BroncosZone Jon

    That’s not what I think Tebow is worth, that’s what I think other teams will think he is worth — because in trades, it seems that teams always overvalue picks.

    Could be wrong though, but I don’t think teams will value him at more than a 4th round pick (or maybe a 3rd at the highest, but I’d never see Denver getting a 2nd for him).

  • Anonymous

    I guess it all depends on how many teams would have interest.  If the Broncos can get 2-3 teams with significant interest then I would think a 2nd is likely and a 1st is “possible”.  If they can only find one suitor then I do think 3rd-4th is more accurate.  I think that 6th-7th is still pretty low though.

  • Dr_wayneg

    I think a fair assessment is this:  Elway/Fox were very willing to continue on with Tim Tebow.  Suddenly, they get the unexpected.  I chance to sign Mr. Manning.  Its a risk… yes.  But Im very sure they have better data than we do about Mr. Manning’s condition.  You dont bet that kind of money on something without being sure.

    I think that Tim Tebow is awesome.  He HAS done more and better than most any quarterback I know of with the little time he has had in the hot seat.  I dont know of any QB that has had so much excitement around him this early in his career… Some of the things he and his team made happen last year was purely amazing and inspiring.  All year most of the experts bet against him.  Much more often that not, they were wrong.  You can NOT love a guy like that.

  • Nannypa1

    This is just so confusing!! I am a die hart Tebow fan. The excitement he generated last season was the most thrilling thing about the season. The only other thing that made my blood boil, was the indifference john Elway showed all season about Tim. I went from a big fan to seeing him as a big headed cigar box!! Now I know manning has been one of the best quarterbacks ever; but there has to be more to football than just business. Otherwise we should all watch the stock market instead of football. The biggest stories are always the ones that make us have an emotional reaction. I really admire Manning; but not to the extent that I think the Broncos should forget the one that helped them get so far last year, and that made people talk about the Broncos instead of not even knowing they were from Denver.

  • http://Facebook.com/BroncosZone Jon

    I probably did go overboard with the 6th-7th speculation, but I don’t see a lot of teams pursuing him.  

  • Anonymous

    There’s no LOGICAL reason for the Broncos to get rid of Tebow.  Of course, Elway might want to get rid of him because he’s cutting in on his popularity.  Denver has always been Elway’s town, and for a long time it seemed it always would be.  The excitement that Tim Tebow creates within Bronco Nation challenges that idea for the first time since Elway led us to consecutive championships.  IF Tebow were to remain a Bronco, and IF Tebow WERE to develop into a QB that could lead the Broncos to a Super Bowl Championship, there just MIGHT be a new hero in Denver.  People keep talking about whether or not Manning and Tebow can co-exist.  The bigger question is whether or not Elway and Tebow can co-exist. I’ve never seen a team root for their QB to fail as much as the Broncos have hoped Tebow would.  Tebow is a HUGE threat John Elway’s enterprise.  If he were to outshine Elway on   thefield, certainly he’d do it off the field with his many contributions tohumanity.  Tim Tebow just might become a   larger than life hero