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Published on 12/09/2009 at Wed Dec 09 15:00.
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It’s that time of year again, folks: time to take our weekly look at how the AFC and Denver Broncos playoff picture is shaping up. Here are how the teams rank if the season ended today, with notes on what’s to come.

IND SD CIN
NE DEN JAC

(Seed, team, record, AFC record)

First Round Bye
1. Indianapolis Colts (12-0, 8-0)
2. San Diego Chargers (9-3, 7-3)

Division Winners
3. Cincinnati Bengals (9-3, 6-3)
4. New England Patriots (7-5, 5-4)

Wild Card
5. Denver Broncos (8-4, 6-3)
6. Jacksonville Jaguars (7-5, 6-2)

On the cusp
Baltimore Ravens (6-6, 6-4)
New York Jets (6-6, 5-5)

If the season ended today…
The Broncos would travel to New England to face the Patriots. The Broncos defeated the Patriots at home in Week 5, 20-17 in overtime.

Colts can clinch against Denver
The Indianapolis Colts can clinch the AFC’s top seed and home-field advantage throughout the playoffs with a win against Denver this weekend. Indianapolis is going for an NFL-record 22nd straight regular season victory.

Chargers can clinch playoff spot
Only one win separates the Chargers and Broncos in the AFC West race, but the Chargers can clinch a playoff spot (division winner or wild card) this weekend with a win and myriad of losses between Pittsburgh, Baltimore, and a few others (there are four scenarios in all, each involving a Chargers win with losses by at least four teams).

Bottom Line
According to AccuScore.com, the Broncos have a 76.0% chance of making the playoffs in 2009.

  • kerry

    out of all those teams the one that is the most dangerous is the Bengals. period. i cant believe i just said that without laughing.

  • http://www.broncotalk.net Josh Temple

    Wait, when did Jacksonville start winning games this year? Snuck up on me.

  • herc_rock

    Has Cincy played SD yet? I could look it up, but I'm a lazy, lazy man, Roger.

  • Rome

    they play soon. next weekend i think.

  • Rome

    they play soon. next weekend i think.

  • eljbow

    we need to see the chargers lose to dallas and cincy, hardcore. a win sunday would be enjoyable, too.

  • Plato

    The division title is not out of the question for the Broncos. Denver would obviously have to win out and San Diego would have to lose against Cincy and Dallas, which is possible.

    However, it is not likely, but it's good to see that Denver has enough wins to be in place to fight for the division.

  • MeOMy

    Denver just needs to win out and for San Diego to loose a game to Cincy Dallas or Washington. Would give them the same record plus same record vs common opp. Denver would then get the tie breaker on strength of victory. This would all be due to the fact that SD got the tie breaker on us last year. They faced miami and tenn while we faced NE and Colts.

  • Gary_in_SD

    If Denver wins out and SD loses one game to either Cincy or Tenn, then the Broncos should win the 3rd tie-breaker which I believe is conference wins. First being head to head and second being divisional wins.

  • Gary_in_SD

    I thought so too, that is until they litterally handed a game to the Raiders. Now they need to prove themselves all over again before I'm buying. At Minn this weekend is a good chance for them to do so.

  • Gary_in_SD

    Is anyone planning to go to SD if the Broncos are the Wildcard and end up playing them? Let me know because I'll definitely be there!

  • Andpark

    Ha, I'm there man. Count me in for the AFC Championship game in SD.

  • corey

    we have to win out guys…Playoffs have already started for us…