Week 4 Pick ‘Ems

Another installment of our expert picks. Seriously, we’re pros. If you don’t believe one of us, ask the other and he’ll tell you we’re pros. Seriously.

I mean, we both know the Saints won’t lose this week.

Last week – of course, the Broncos lost so we both lost one. Neither of us believe we’ll go 13-0 to finish the season, but you likely won’t see us pick against them either (at least I know I never will). Jon picked a ton of games against the spread, and he was 5 of 8. Like I told you last week, I make my picks before looking at Sin City, and only had 2 differences.

This week I’ve got 4 games against the spread, Jon’s got 5.

Last week

Kyle – Against the Spread – 1-1
Straight up – 11-5
Jonathan – Against the Spread – 5-3
Straight up – 12-4

To Date

Kyle – Against the Spread – 3-2*
Straight up – 34-14
Jonathan – Against the spread – 5-3*
Straight up – 31-17
*Since keeping track in week 2, week 3 respectively.

kmonty’s pick	Thoughts/Notes/Ramblings	Jonathan’s pick
	DEN @ IND (-9) – 9 points, eh? 3 points to the home team, leaving 6. Are the Colts 6 points better than the Broncos on a neutral field? I don’t think so, and I think our offense matches up so well against their defense that the Colts will be sidelined most of it. Kinda like what the Jags did to us this past weekend.
	OAK @ MIA (-4) – I’m picking based on the assumption that Daunte Culpepper will be playing against his former team, whom he hates and feels jaded and yada yada yada. Those games usually favor the disgruntled quarterback, for whatever reason.
	HOU (-3) @ ATL – The Falcons actually showed a few signs of not being the worst team in the NFL last week. Too bad DeAngelo Hall blew it. Meanwhile, the Texans are finally looking good and have now found out what the injury bug is all about. I want them to be healthy, so we can play a good game in the Kubiak Bowl later this year.
	BAL (-4) @ CLE – This was actually tough for me to pick.  I think the Browns may have found a home field advantage, and the Ravens are simply better behind Kyle Boller than Steve McNair.  Jonathan has more balls, as usual.
	CHI (-3) @ DET – Brian Griese. Jon Kitna. Who’d have ever thought a game between these two quarterback would have meant jack squat two years ago? The Bears are tied for last in the NFC North, so this is a must win for Lovie Smith and crew. If the Lions are to go 10-6, this is a must-win for them.
	GB (-1.5) @ MIN – Quite a low spread for the team that just beat the mighty Chargers. Don’t know if this is an indictment against the Pack or an endorsement for the Vikes, but someone in Vegas doesn’t think it is going to be as big of a blowout as I do. Brett Favre breaks the TD record then adds two more.
	STL @ DAL (-13) – The Cowboys were my preseason pick for the Super Bowl, but now they’re so freaking popular I feel like jumping off the bandwagon. Tony Romo will be dating Jessica Alba before you know it. Oh, and the Rams don’t have a chance in hell.
	NYJ (-3.5) @ BUF – I actually struggled to pick this one. A lot of teams think the Bills are plain awful, but this is their first game that isn’t against an upper echelon team. Even with injuries piling up, I see them defending their home and taking down the Jets.
	TB @ CAR (-3) – There were a few things I didn’t believe would happen this year, despite the frenzy. 1. Randy Moss would still suck. Wrong. 2. Jeff Garcia couldn’t excel without talent around him. Thus far, wrong again. He’s doing a fine job and helping the Bucs get wins. Plus, I have a special place in my heart for these guys ever since they beat that one team in the Super Bowl…
	SEA (-2) @ SF – San Francisco has yet to find an offense. Their defense is a bit banged up. I think the sky is falling on this team, and the Seahawks will rain on it. Insert rain-sky-falling analogy here.
	PIT (-6) @ ARI – It looks like I was a week removed from the chique Arizona pick. A couple of guys on Sirius are singing Whisenhunt‘s praises, I’ve seen more blogs than not pick the Cards, and the pro picks are split more than you would think. Well, we’re rebels. We roll with Vegas.
	KC @ SD (-12) – When a child tells his mom something’s wrong, the mother calls the doctor. When a child tells the doctor he can’t run the freaking football, the doctor prescribes the Kansas City Chiefs.
	PHI (-2.5) @ NYG – The Iggles had a big game last week. The Giants are surprising me though with their offense, sans Tiki Barber and Luke Petitgout. Both 0-2 teams bounced back against surprising 2-0 teams last week, and now we get to see who’s the real deal.
	NE (-7.5) @ CIN – Wouldn’t it be freaking awesome if the Patriots went 16-0, hosted the Broncos for the AFC Championship Game, and got their asses whupped? Yeah, totally freaking awesome, I know.